The Rule of 90 | TrendSpider Learning Center (2024)

3 mins read

Trading in financial markets has always been an alluring endeavor. The prospect of financial independence, the allure of fast gains, and the excitement of the market’s ups and downs attract countless new traders every day. However, the world of trading is not for the faint of heart. It is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade. In this article, we’ll delve into what this rule means, why it exists, and how traders can navigate these challenges to improve their chances of success.

Understanding the Rule of 90

The Rule of 90 is a grim statistic that serves as a sobering reminder of the difficulty of trading. According to this rule, 90% of novice traders will experience significant losses within their first 90 days of trading, ultimately wiping out 90% of their initial capital. While this rule may seem like an exaggeration or a harsh generalization, it highlights a genuine issue in the world of trading: the steep learning curve and inherent risks.

Reasons Behind the Rule

Several factors contribute to the high failure rate among new traders:

  1. Lack of Education: Many newcomers to the world of trading dive in without adequately educating themselves about the markets, trading strategies, and risk management. This lack of knowledge can lead to costly mistakes.
  2. Emotional Trading: Emotions, such as fear and greed, can cloud a trader’s judgment and lead to impulsive decision-making. Emotional trading often results in losses.
  3. Lack of a Solid Plan: Successful traders develop well-defined trading plans that include entry and exit strategies, risk management, and clear goals. Novices often trade without a plan, increasing their vulnerability to losses.
  4. Overleveraging: Overleveraging, or trading with excessive borrowed funds, can amplify gains but also magnify losses. Many inexperienced traders fall into this trap.
  5. Unrealistic Expectations: New traders may enter the market with unrealistic expectations of making quick profits. When these expectations aren’t met, frustration and disappointment can set in.

Navigating the Challenges

While the Rule of 90 paints a bleak picture, it’s essential to remember that trading is not inherently a losing proposition. Many successful traders have overcome these challenges through dedication, discipline, and continuous learning. Here are some strategies to help new traders increase their chances of success:

  1. Education: Invest time in learning about the financial markets, trading strategies, and risk management. There are numerous online courses, books, and educational resources available.
  2. Start Small: Begin with a small trading account and trade with money you can afford to lose. This approach reduces the emotional pressure and financial risk.
  3. Develop a Trading Plan: Create a comprehensive trading plan that includes clear entry and exit strategies, risk management rules, and realistic goals. Stick to your plan, and don’t let emotions dictate your decisions.
  4. Practice with a Demo Account: Many brokers offer demo accounts where you can practice trading with virtual money. This allows you to hone your skills and test your strategies without risking real capital.
  5. Manage Risk: Implement strict risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and never risking more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade.
  6. Control Your Emotions: Learn to manage your emotions, particularly fear and greed. Emotion-driven decisions often lead to losses.
  7. Learn from Mistakes: It’s essential to analyze your losing trades and learn from your mistakes. Each loss can be a valuable lesson if you use it to improve your trading strategy.

The Bottom Line

The Rule of 90 serves as a stark reminder of the challenges faced by new traders in the world of financial markets. While the road to trading success is riddled with obstacles, it’s not insurmountable. With education, discipline, and the right mindset, aspiring traders can increase their odds of success and avoid becoming a statistic in the Rule of 90. Trading is not a get-rich-quick scheme, but a journey that demands dedication, continuous learning, and the ability to adapt to the ever-changing landscape of the financial markets.

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The Rule of 90 | TrendSpider Learning Center (2024)

FAQs

What is the 90% rule in trading? ›

It is a high-stakes game where many are lured by the promise of quick riches but ultimately face harsh realities. One of the harsh realities of trading is the “Rule of 90,” which suggests that 90% of new traders lose 90% of their starting capital within 90 days of their first trade.

What is the best moving average crossover combination? ›

The best MA crossover strategy is the one combined with the MACD indicator for confirmed bullish or bearish signals. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) helps in identifying if the markets are bullish or bearish, which in turn helps determine the ideal entry and exit price levels.

Can you buy and sell a stock in the same day cash account? ›

FINRA's margin rule for day trading applies to day trading in any security, including options. Day trading in a cash account is not permitted. All securities purchased in the cash account must be paid for in full before they are sold.

What is a simple moving average strategy? ›

A simple moving averages trading strategy is employed by traders to chart the price movement of a security and ignore the day-to-day price fluctuations. Traders can compare short, medium, and long-term trends over large periods. A 200-bar simple moving average is usually used as a substitute for the long-term trend.

Is it true that 90 of traders lose money? ›

Actually numbers are following: 70% -75% of people lose money in their first year of trading! Other 20–25 % lose money in next 5 years! And only 3–5% of all traders are profitable or not losing money.

What is the 90-90 rule? ›

Created by Joshua Fields Millburn and Ryan Nicodemus of The Minimalists, the 90/90 rule is a decluttering process that requires you to ask yourself two questions about objects you're not sure about: Have you used it in the past 90 days? And if not, will you use it in the 90 days ahead?

What is the 3 5 7 rule in trading? ›

What is the 3 5 7 rule in trading? A risk management principle known as the “3-5-7” rule in trading advises diversifying one's financial holdings to reduce risk. The 3% rule states that you should never risk more than 3% of your whole trading capital on a single deal.

What is the 10 am rule in stock trading? ›

Some traders follow something called the "10 a.m. rule." The stock market opens for trading at 9:30 a.m., and the time between 9:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. often has significant trading volume. Traders that follow the 10 a.m. rule think a stock's price trajectory is relatively set for the day by the end of that half-hour.

How much money do day traders with $10,000 accounts make per day on average? ›

Assuming they make ten trades per day and taking into account the success/failure ratio, this hypothetical day trader can anticipate earning approximately $525 and only risking a loss of about $300 each day. This results in a sizeable net gain of $225 per day.

What is the most successful moving average strategy? ›

The best way to trade moving average is to use the crossover strategy, where a shorter-period moving average crossing above a longer-period moving average generates a bullish signal, and vice versa for a bearish signal. This method helps indicate potential changes in the market trend.

What is a golden cross? ›

A Golden Cross is a basic technical indicator that occurs in the market when a short-term moving average (50-day) of an asset rises above a long-term moving average (200-day). When traders see a Golden Cross occur, they view this chart pattern as indicative of a strong bull market.

What is the 3 30 formula? ›

The 3-30 rule in the stock market suggests that a stock's price tends to move in cycles, with the first 3 days after a major event often showing the most significant price change.

What is the 90 day trading rule? ›

If you don't meet the margin call after five business days, your broker may place you under a 90-day cash restricted account status until you meet the $25,000 minimum.

What is the 70/20/10 rule for trading? ›

Part one of the rule said that in the next 12 months, the return you got on a stock was 70% determined by what the U.S. stock market did, 20% was determined by how the industry group did and 10% was based on how undervalued and successful the individual company was.

What is the 90 120 rule in trading? ›

For example, if you're 30 years old, subtracting your age from 120 gives you 90. Therefore, you would invest 90% of your retirement money in stocks and 10% into more consistent financial instruments. This rule creates a portfolio that gradually carries less risk.

What is the 90-90-90 rule for traders? ›

There's a saying in the industry that's fairly common, the '90-90-90 rule'. It goes along the lines, 90% of traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days. If you're reading this then you're probably in one of those 90's... Make no mistake, the entire industry is set up that way to achieve exactly that, 90-90-90.

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